Rangers unearth terrorist, RAW, NDS nexus

KARACHI, April 12: The Sindh Rangers claim to have unearthed a nexus between terrorists and foreign spy agencies.
A senior paramilitary officer on Wednesday said the force has arrested at least five hardcore militants from Da’ish and al Qaeda in the Indian Sub-Continent (AQIS) who were in contact with India’s Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) and Afghanistan’s National Directorate of Security (NDS).

“We arrested the five hardcore militants during a raid in the Mawach Goth area of [Karachi’s] Keamari Town,” Rangers Colonel Qaiser Khattak told a news conference at the force’s headquarters.

“We had received information through intelligence sources that trained Da’ish and AQIS militants were planning a major attack in Karachi,” he said. “Rangers saved Karachi by taking timely action against them.”

Col Khattak said the captured terrorists had received training in Afghanistan. “They [the terrorists] were part of a nexus with India’s RAW and Afghanistan’s NDS which was operating out of Balochistan,” he said. “They were communicating with each other by using SD cards.”

“A laptop containing a three-dimensional map of a highly sensitive installation in Karachi along with jihadi and anti-state literature was recovered from the militants’ possession and confirmed their ties with banned outfits,” the Rangers officer added.

The suspects arrested were identified as Tahir Zaman alias Faisal Mota Boxer, Muhammad Nawaz, Bilal Ahmed alias Kashif alias Javed, Muhammad Farhan Siddiqui and Dur Muhammad Mashadi.

Sharing details of the arrested militants, Col Khattack said Tahir Zaman received training in Afghanistan and Miramshah. He along with companions killed two cops in Korangi on January 2013. Also on January 2013, he attacked a police mobile with hand grenade, killing two cops and wounded another also in Korangi area. He also killed two workers of ethnic party in 2013.

Suspect Nawaz joined AQIS in 2012 and got training of militancy and preparing IEDs. He also used to provide information about army, intelligence and police officials to Tehreek-e-Talibam Pakistan. Another arrested militant Bilal Ahmed is a closed aide of Tahir Minhas, a key suspect in Safoora bus carnage already arrested by law enforcers. He even got training of suicide bombing. He also killed eight people belinging to Dawoodi Bohra community and Ahle Hadees on the directives of Tahir Minhas. He was also involved in a bomb blast outside a Sareena mobile market in North Nazimabad. The accused Farhan Siddiqui had joined al-Qaeda in 2008. He was also the recruitment in-charge for al-Qaeda while the accused Dur Muhammad joined al Qaeda in 2008 and was also arrested in 2009 while smuggling arms to Karachi from Sukkar. He after releasing from jail in 2014 again joined the organisation and engaged in terror activities.

Col Khattak also said Rangers have recovered eight kilogrammes of explosives, four ball bombs, four sub machineguns (SMGs), two pistols, one suicide jacket, four hand grenades and ammunitions and explosive materials. He also informed the media that the Rangers had the support of some peaceloving citizens of Karachi during this operation and they would also be awarded with special rewards on the directives of DG Rangers, Sindh.

Gwadar the tiger

PAKISTAN would be Asia’s and Gwadar Pakistan’s tiger with the completion of projects under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), said Nawaz Sharif at a recent public meeting held in Balochistan’s port city. “I am the first prime minister who stayed overnight in Gwadar as earlier the leaders neglected the area,” he remarked.

He also claimed that peace had returned to the insurgency-prone area during his tenure and gave the credit to the armed forces, police, local administration and the nation. I wish he had taken the nation into confidence regarding progress on the aspect of the National Action Plan pertaining to reconciliation with the Baloch sub-nationalists involved in a ‘low-intensity insurgency’ in their homeland. Former chief minister Dr Abdul Malik had initiated the process and also met some of the dissident leaders ensconced in European safe havens. Have policymakers in Quetta and Islamabad taken any confidence-building measures to bring about a reconciliation? I am afraid the security establishment strongly feels that any level of militancy or insurgency can be tackled with force and coercion.

Meanwhile, the London-based, self-exiled Khan of Kalat Mir Suleman Ahmedzai brands China and Pakistan as ‘plunderers’ and tilts toward India to stop or subvert CPEC’s execution. He recently told the media that Indian PM Modi was a “friend of Balochistan”. Then there is Baloch Liberation Army leader Hyrbyair Marri who too is safely based in London and trying to create unrest in the Bolan Pass area near Quetta and Sibi. Similarly, Brahmdagh Bugti is inciting his followers from his cool Geneva haven to play with fire in Sui and Dera Bugti areas. Remember, these are Baloch sardars who, while living in plush European lands, cannot inspire the poor and downtrodden people of Balochistan to follow their diktat.

The festering wounds that have given impetus to the Baloch insurgency should be healed.

The real threat to the state agencies comes from the dissident Baloch youth and the Baloch Liberation Front leadership perched in the mountainous terrain around Turbat, Gwadar, Panjgur and Kharan. A bright, middle-class student, Dr Allah Nazar, started to lead the youthful insurgents in 2006. These angry young Baloch men and women are the ones who require our state security stakeholders’ attention. Instead of alienating them, efforts should be made to give them respect and listen to their voices of dissent. Their spokesmen are, in fact, those Baloch politicians who chose ballot over bullets and contested the 2013 elections. These elected leaders are not against Pakistan.

A multi-party conference (MPC) on CPEC was hos¬ted by the Balochistan National Party-Mengal in Islamabad on Jan 10, 2016. It approved the following resolutions: one, complete control of the Gwadar Port mega project should be handed over to Balochistan in accordance with the Constitution. Ownership rights and powers to make decisions on Balochistan’s resources should be accepted. Two, the unanimous resolution passed at the MPC convened by the prime minister on May 28, 2015 should be implemented in letter and spirit. CPEC’s western route should be completed first and people living in undeveloped areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Punjab and Balochis¬tan must derive benefits from all aspects of CPEC.

Three, steps should be taken to prevent the Baloch becoming a minority in their province. There should be a complete ban on the issuance of identity cards, local certificates and passports from Gwadar to new settlers so that their names are not included in electoral rolls. Four, facilities of clean drinking water, hospitals, schools, technical colleges and centres for skilled persons related to the port and a maritime university should be established, and people of Gwadar given preference in them. Five, locals should get priority in appointments at Gwadar Port and related mega projects. Six, in order to prevent local fishermen from economic deprivation, alternative means of earning should be provided. All restrictions on people of Gwadar, including an unannounced ban on political activities, should be removed and they should be allowed freedom of movement.

Seven, people of Gwadar should be provided free medical facilities, technical training in foreign countries and scholarships in reputed educational institutions in other provinces. Eight, in order to overcome Gwadar’s backwardness, its residents should be given free education and health facilities. They should be given immunity on taxes and utility bills for three years. Nine, the confiscation of thousands of kanals of local people’s ancestral land was unjust and these should be returned to their real owners. Ten, there should be legislation to ensure partnership of local people in investment projects in Gwadar. Eleven, locals should be inducted into security forces to protect their rights and self-respect.

These resolutions by various mainstream political forces reflected a consensus that the state should have addressed so that the festering wounds that have provided impetus to the Baloch insurgency could be healed.
Another significant development was the decision to lay a railway track to connect Gwadar with the Iranian port city of Chabahar. Chief Minister Sanaullah Zehri and an Iranian delegation led by the governor of the Iranian province of Sistan-Balochestan, Aaqa Ali Hosth Hashmi, reached the agreement on Jan 11, 2016 in Gwadar. Officials from both sides discussed security, drug trafficking, illegal border crossing, etc and also decided to take up plans for border trade, a new shipping service and flights from Gwadar to Iranian cities.

This appeared to me to be too good to be true. I am reminded of US ambassador Ryan Crocker’s farewell courtesy call on me in 2007 while I was IGP Balochistan. I broached the subject of the Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline. He said it would not be feasible due to the poor law and order situation in Balochistan. I told him Pakistani security agencies were capable of providing secure transit to a pipeline parallel to the Gwadar-Karachi coastline. After some hedging, he reluctantly conceded that the project was not in US interests.

So that is it. National interests of global powers determine what goes on in our region. For once, we should start thinking what is best for us in the regional context. Neighbour Iran is too vital for us as a potential CPEC trading partner.

The strategically located and resource-rich province of Balochistan calls for mature, long-term decisions by all stakeholders, particularly the federal government and all-powerful military establishment. The voice of the Baloch should not be ignored any longer.

The writer is former IGP Balochistan.

Published in Dawn, April 1st, 2017

Russian military delegation visits North, South Waziristan

A Russian military delegation, accompanied by senior officers of the Pakistan Army, visited Miran Shah in North Waziristan Agency and Wanna in South Waziristan Agency, said a statement by the Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR).

The delegation of the Russian army, the first ever to visit the conflict-stricken areas, was led by Deputy Chief of General Staff Colonel General Israkov Sergi Yuryevich.

“The delegation was briefed about Pakistan Army’s efforts to clear FATA from terrorists of all hue and colours,” said the ISPR statement.

The visiting Russian military officers were also briefed about border management on the Pak-Afghan border and socio economic development projects in the area.

“The delegation acknowledged and appreciated Pakistan Army’s achievements in the fight against terrorism and efforts to bring stability in the region,” added the statement.

Cooperation between the armed forces of Russia and Pakistan has grown in recent times.

In September 2016, a contingent of Russian ground forces arrived in Pakistan for the first ever joint Pak-Russian exercise.

Around 200 military personnel of both countries participated in the drills. The special operations drills codenamed ‘Druzhbha-2016’ — a Russian word meaning “friendship” — saw Russian troops and Pakistani special forces working in close cooperation.

Building upon the cooperation, Russian Navy’s largest anti-submarine warfare ship Severmorsk arrived in Pakistan for participation in the Aman 2017 international naval exercises in February 2017.

Pakistan also confirmed purchase of Mi-35 ground attack helicopters in 2015.

PML-N looks to make inroads into PPP’s powerbase

KARACHI, March 19: The ruling PML-N, which has its powerbase in Punjab, is looking to make forays into the stronghold of rival PPP after neglecting its Sindh chapter for almost four years. And as part of the plan, Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif will tour rural Sindh to announce development packages in an effort to garner support for his party.

Premier Sharif alluded to the plan during his interaction with the Sindh-based leaders of his party in Karachi last week. “After Lahore, we have to win Lyari [the stronghold of the PPP in Karachi],” he had said. Sharif was advised by party leaders to live up to his earlier pledges of turning the focus to Sindh in order to change the perception that the PML-N’s politics was Punjab-centric.

PM ‘committed to Balochistan uplift’
“We have planned a number of activities in the coming days. We will see him [Premier Sharif] amongst us. He will not only interact with the people at the district level, but will also announce development packages for different cities and towns in Sindh,” a senior PML-N leader told The Express Tribune requesting anonymity.

“After his recent visits to Thatta and Karachi, the prime minister will now travel to Hyderabad on March 25 where he will meet the office-bearers of his party and business community,” he said. “A development package will also be announced for the city.”

The next mega event, according to sources, will be held in April in Jacobabad where Premier Sharif will address a big public gathering. “Rallies have also been planned in Jamshoro, Badin, Mirpurkhas and Dadu districts in the next couple of months,” he added.

Once hit by terror: Balochistan becoming ‘economic tiger of Pakistan’
Karachi-based PML-N leaders say Premier Sharif has decided to focus on Sindh after dozens of politicians quit his party accusing the prime minister and the party leadership of neglecting them. Prominent among them are Ghous Ali Shah, Hakeem Baloch and Mumtaz Bhutto, Liaquat Jatoi and Arbab Ghulam Rahim.

However, the turning point came when the Sheerazi brothers of Thatta also threatened to quit the party. “We are being victimised by the PPP but the PML-N leadership has abandoned us as it does not care. This is the time to say goodbye to the party,” one of the Sheerazi brothers conveyed this message to Sharif in the first week of February.

Premier Sharif promptly responded to the message and called the Sheerazi brothers to Islamabad for a detailed meeting in the presence of Punjab Chief Minister Shehbaz Sharif. It was here that Premier Sharif decided to visit Thatta and announce a development package for the dirt-poor region.

PML-N, military not on same page over militancy: Imran
Subsequently, Sharif not only visited Thatta and announced many projects but also surprised many within one week by attending an event organised in connection with the Holi festival in Karachi where he announced a Rs500 million for the Hindu community.

When asked if the money would actually be provided, PML-N’s Minority Wing Secretary General Khehal Das said Sharif had already formed a committee to oversee this project and identity other neglected areas in various districts where development work would be started. “At least six hospitals funded by the government will be established in various districts, including Thatta, Badin, Tharparkar, Jacobabad and Mirpurkhas,” he said.
Political observers see these activities as part of preparations for the upcoming elections. “The prime minister is now trying to make inroads into the areas traditionally considered the turf of either MQM or PPP in Karachi and other districts of Sindh. You will soon see more activities,” a senior leader said.

Sources in the PML-N say Sindh Governor Mohammad Zubair has been tasked to approach the estranged PML-N leaders in Sindh before the 2018 general elections. “Now, the Governor House will be the epicentre of the PML-N’s political activities,” one leader said.

Governor Zubair has started meeting PPP’s rivals for possible alliances and has activated the PML-N’s social media wing to counter the opposition’s allegations and to defend the government’s policies.

However, some political analysts do not take these efforts seriously given the past record of the PML-N. “Premier Sharif and his team have been making and breaking promises. I don’t see the party winning more seats in Sindh,” said senior journalist Ayoub Shaikh. “Mumtaz Bhutto and Murtaza Jatoi had merged their parties with the PML-N, but now they regret their decision,” he said.

According to some experts, there is a possibility to fill the political gap in the province as people have no alternate for the PPP in Sindh. However, they believe Premier Sharif’s efforts are little late to give Sindh’s ruling party a tough time in the next general election. “I think he has little time to prove something before the next elections,” Shaikh added.

Published in The Express Tribune, March 19th, 2017.

The governments’ fading actions

The Feb 16 suicide attack on the shrine of Shahbaz Qalandar has sent shockwaves across the country, especially in Sindh which is considered as the last bastion of religious and sectarian harmony in Pakistan.
The shrine is revered by millions of devotees. Its characteristic drumbeat and dhamaal is an icon of spiritual ecstasy.

Sindh, the land of Sufis, has endured traumatic incidents of terrorism during recent years, yet Sindhi society is responding to this challenge with towering spirit and unflinching resolve — political leadership, civil society, local media and common people will not be cowed by this wave of terrorism.

More than 80 people died in the evening on February 16, yet the following day began with the roar of dhamal when mourners broke all barriers and thronged the shrine to demonstrate their defiance to terrorism. After a few days, the shrine was visited by a group of civil society activists that performed dhamal to fight fear.

A hairline crack is already conspicuous in Sindh despite being largely liberal, harmonious and secular. Sufi saints of Sindh are revered by people beyond identities that symbolises the Sindhi culture of inclusiveness, tolerance, diversity and harmony. Perhaps, that is the main reason behind targeting of shrines by obscurantist elements. Bloodshed at the Qalandar’s shrine is a continuity of the streak of blood smeared at the shrines of Shah Noorani, Abdullah Shah Ghazi, Data Gunj Bakhsh, Bari Imam and Rehman Baba.

The fact that the terrorist involved in the recent incident was brought from the other side of the border indicates sheer incompetence of the security web. He must have breached several tiers of security, and several facilitators, before detonating himself.

Such failure of intelligence and security merits serious introspection.

Lahore also witnessed a similar carnage only a few days ago, which was followed by a series of terrorist attacks in Balochistan and KP. These incidents should have been considered as a forewarning by the Sindh government.
Sehwan was among the predictable targets, yet the provincial government took no security precautions to avert any mishap. A place routinely frequented by flocks of thousands was left at the mercy of five policepersons, two dysfunctional walkthrough gates and a bunch of malfunctioning cameras.

After an illusive hiatus, terrorism has returned with its usual horror. Lack of political will is an undeniable reality that revitalises terrorist groups.

Local health facility is grossly understaffed supported by only one ambulance and inadequate supplies. A place like Sehwan should not be equated with normal taluka headquarters to determine the status of health, security and emergency services. Rather than its administrative status, the number of visitors routinely swarming the town and the level of alert should have been used as a benchmark to provide emergency response facilities.

The provincial government underestimated the threat level and failed to act proactively. Two day after the blast was too late for the chief minister of Sindh to order a security audit of worship places.

We know that in recent years militancy has crept into Sindh. The intelligence agencies informed the provincial government only a few months ago about 93 madrassas having solid links with proscribed outfits. Only two months ago, provincial home ministry reported that 62 banned groups were active in the province. The Sindh government had been wrangling with the Federal Interior Ministry over its slouchy response on a 46-page report sent by the provincial government.

The Sindh government’s own inaction was equally confounding, as it possesses constitutional and legal powers to take action against such potentially subversive bodies. The provincial government also failed to implement hitherto announced actions to forestall the terrorists’ onslaught.

In October 2016, the chief minister ordered a crackdown against 93 seminaries for having links with terrorists groups, and on unregistered immigrants living in Karachi. In August 2016, the Sindh cabinet approved a draft of the bill to register all madrassas in Sindh. In the meeting of the provincial Apex Committee, IG police informed that out of 9,590 seminaries reported in the province, 3,087 were unregistered. In February 2016, the provincial government decided to regulate the Friday sermon. According to newspaper reports, the Sindh police had started analysis and audit to trace the funding of seminaries in the province.

Regrettably, all these lofty ideas have yet to see the light of day.

Cowardice on part of the government of Sindh is also evident from the fact that it hastily scuttled an operation launched in November 2016 to lay hands on suspects taking shelter in 93 seminaries under question. The provincial government also backtracked on unanimously adopted landmark legislation against forced conversions to placate religious parties.

The provincial government belatedly decided to launch a crackdown on the Sindh-Balochistan border district one week after the carnage. These areas are infested by extremist groups and the provincial government knew it long before. It needs a comprehensive strategy and a long term plan rather than a reactionary crackdown which will end up in random police witch-hunting mostly targeting innocent people to extract money. Such perfunctory roars are commonly witnessed after every massacre, but each time the government cringes on the promised actions and capitulates before the pressure of religious groups. With the passage of time, the government actions fade away.
The federal government’s slumber on the National Action Plan (NAP) and the absence of a credible action in Punjab has also been a root cause of incessant terrorist acts. It is widely believed that certain elements in the Punjab-rooted ruling party have been pandering to proscribed militant outfits. An uncanny state of denial persists among the PML-N stalwarts.

Two days after a suicide assault that killed 73 people in a recreational park in Lahore in March 2016, Rana Sanaullah challenged that everyone can visit any region of Punjab and show him a single safe haven of militants. Repeated repudiation of action against militants’ sanctuaries in Punjab is commonly construed as an implicit complicity of the ruling establishment of the province.

In January 2017, the federal interior minister flabbergasted the Senate by justifying his meeting with a delegation that included a banned outfit. In February 2016, the minister had also said that madrassas are like a bulwark against terrorism. In the first week of February 2017, Rana Sanaullah successfully exhorted a PML-N legislator to withdraw her resolution seeking sanitisation of syllabus of seminaries by expunging hate speech. A newspaper report on February 20, 2017 revealed that some powerful government functionaries were opposing effective action against sectarian outfits in Punjab for political reasons.

While security establishment liberally uses its muscle to operate in other provinces, its reluctance to launch a decisive purge in Punjab triggers many questions. The Punjab dominated establishment’s laxity on eradicating militants’ safe havens is now spewing its perils in all parts of the country. After failure in containing terrorism, the security establishment found a reason to launch a fresh operation in the country.

After an illusive hiatus, terrorism has returned with its usual horror. Lack of political will is an undeniable reality that revitalises terrorist groups. There is no dearth of verbal gallantry but words often lack congruent actions of the government. Security establishment can use arsenal to halt terrorists’ advance but its more formidable political dimensions need a complex, multidimensional and compressive response that falls under the ambit of political government.

Unless the political leadership stands steadfast with its own towering claims, terrorism cannot be eradicated.

Piecemeal approach to justice

The National Assembly has passed Criminal Law (Amendment) Act 2017, a bill that seeks to address the issues of abuse of blasphemy law, sectarian hate speech, forced marriage of non-Muslim women and the crime of lynching. Therefore, the bill now due to be presented in the Senate, introduces changes to sections; 182 (falsification), 298 (hate speech), 498 B (forced marriage) of the Pakistan Penal Code 1860, Schedule II (defining competent courts) of Code of Criminal Procedure 1898 , sections 23, 27 and 32 (action against and the punishments for proliferation of hate material) Police Act 1861, section 10 of the Qanoon-e-Shahdat 1984, Section 11W (act of lynching to constitute terrorism) of the Anti-terrorism Act 1997.

In essence the bill seeks to add: categories of offenses and procedures, and a form of evidence, though most importantly, the bill seeks to introduce severer punishments for the above-mentioned offences i.e. three to seven years of jail, or more, depending on the gravity of offence and enhanced limits of fine from one hundred thousand to one million rupees for different offences. The treasury seems to have done impressive work by initiating legislation on some of the most disturbing issues concerning suppression of crimes against religious minorities.

Whereas a deeper look into the context shows that the bill may have defied even more crucial questions which will not merely impact implementation of the new measures but also make the viability of these measures questionable. For instance, forced marriage of minority women is usually accompanied by forced conversions which the bill does not criminalise. Hence the near-ineffectiveness of the measure given in the bill is almost predictable.

Similarly, a mere increase of punishment for the offence of falsification is not likely to deter the crime or hold the persons levelling false accusations accountable because the amendment neither addresses the vulnerability of victims of blasphemy laws nor adds procedure to the new measure. Any student of law could tell that section 182 of the Pakistan Penal Code regarding relief against false accusations is a redundant protection against the abuse because people do not want to undergo the agony of another legal proceeding.

The bill seems to have ignored in its entirety, the recommendations of the judicial inquiries held by Justice Tanveer Ahmad Khan in 1997 after the Shanti Nagar incident and by Justice Iqbal Hameeduddin after the Gojra incident in 2009. The bill could have also benefitted from a number of judgments in cases under the blasphemy allegations, findings and discussions of human rights committees in parliament besides the bill that was presented by Sherry Rehman in 2010. The Ministry of Law and Justice owes an explanation as to why the promises made two years ago in NAP regarding criminal justice system reforms, judicial reforms and police reforms are being ignored. Why is a patch work of amendments being considered a substitute whereas a package of reforms is being demanded by all stakeholders, including the superior judiciary? It has been a pattern that amendments to criminal justice are introduced.

in bits and pieces; in 2014 protection of women’s rights, in 2016 protection of child rights and protection of minorities is being imagined in 2017. This approach of administering justice is in need of serious review. The Senate of Pakistan is recommended to introduce a more holistic approach with regard to protection of religious minorities and reforms in the criminal justice system, it is prudent that justice is revisited. The emphasis needs to be on the restorative rather than punitive approach of criminal justice considering that the state has neglected for a long time what was due on its part.

The scope of making a tolerant society and reducing crime obviously goes beyond the role of legislation, jails and courts. The success towards higher purpose of criminal justice is contingent upon a holistic approach as well as matching steps in educational policy and curriculum and other social sector reforms.
Published in The Express Tribune, February 18th, 2017

Pakistan Looks toward A Year Of Stability But Little Rights Progress

Pakistan seems on track in 2017 for another year of just getting by. The country seems likely as in the recent past to avoid fully confronting its most challenging problems yet managing to do enough to avoid their becoming seriously worse.
Measures to curb domestic violence undertaken by Pakistan’s military and civilian government can be expected to fall short of making the hard choices needed to eliminate ensconced extremist groups.

The military’s campaign in the FATA and paramilitary actions in Karachi and elsewhere in conjunction with the country’s National Action Plan (NAP) are given credit for lowering the number of terrorist attacks nationwide. Even so, the intelligence coordination envisioned by NAP has not been achieved and the high incidence of deadly high-profile attacks in 2016 may well continue in 2017.

Also lacking is the political will among Pakistan’s leaders to target those violent jihadi groups like Lashkar-e Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammad, which along with the Afghan Taliban continue to be treated as strategic assets in Pakistan’s security calculus involving Kashmir and Afghanistan.

Indications are that Pakistan’s policymakers will do little in 2017 to address the structural weaknesses in a sluggish economy. Declining direct private investment and weakening balance of payments are unlikely to be reversed this year, and the country’s heavy debt burden will continue to grow.

But Pakistan is not expected to face economic crisis or pay a price politically for inaction. Low oil and gas prices and strengthened currency reserves have taken pressure off the government to confront such difficult issues as tax reform and inequality.

Public discontent, so visible in recent years over shortages in electricity, has been lessened by the country’s increasing megawatt capacity. Above all, the popular euphoria over the agreement with China that promises more than $50 billion to construct an economic corridor uplifting the country’s transit and energy infrastructure has created the popular impression that Pakistan will be eventually relieved of all its economic ills.

Politically, most predictions foresee a year of greater political stability. Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s overseas financial holding, as revealed by the Panama Papers, will continue to plague him for some months as will efforts of opposition parties to weaken and delegitimize his leadership. Yet Sharif will probably continue to outmaneuver his political enemies and be buttressed by popular approval of his government’s development projects.

Imran Khan’s movement shows signs of running out of steam, and its longtime rival, the People’s Party, has not regained its footing as a national party.

Sharif’s Muslim League stands a good chance of being returned to power in the event early national elections are called in 2017.

A modus vivendi seems to be largely in place between Pakistan’s civilian leaders and its military. Despite the generals’ disdain for Sharif and much of the political class, the military appears content with a status quo in which its domain of foreign and defense policy remains secure and it can avoid the responsibilities that come with assuming the powers of government.

In this often delicately balanced relationship, the Sharif government has acquired a newfound confidence. Its successful management of a new army chief’s selection in November has probably gained the Sharif regime a better hearing from the military and greater assurance that the ruling party will be allowed to serve out its term in office.

The government’s hand has also been strengthened as it has assumed the lead role in negotiating the direction of Chinese economic investment in Pakistan.

The year 2017 will not mark progress in expanding human and civil rights or legislation curbing corruption. More problematic still is the future of a blasphemy law.

However, closure should finally be achieved in long-overdue integration politically and administratively of Pakistan’s tribal areas with the rest of the country. In all probability, the seven tribal agencies of FATA will be consolidated within Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province. Less certain is whether the Pakistani Taliban, which found refuge from the army’s Zarb-e Azb campaign across the border in Afghanistan, will begin to seep back into North Waziristan.

For the time being at least, barbed rhetorical exchanges and periodic border clashes are likely to mark relations between Pakistan and India. Although both nuclear-capable powers seek to avoid deeper conflict, another major terrorist attack inside India could, however, end the restraint heretofore shown by the Modi government.

Pakistan’s suspicions of Indian activities in Afghanistan may increase further in 2017 should Taliban military gains force the Kabul government to lean heavily on India for meeting its security needs.

The optimism expressed in Pakistan that a new U.S. administration may be more understanding of the country’s policies will probably fade quickly. Under a Trump administration, the long-lasting U.S. alliance with Pakistan can be expected to become more transparently transactional and carry more sticks than carrots.

Marvin Weinbaum is a scholar in residence and director of the Pakistan Studies Center at the Middle East Institute think tank in Washington.

In Pakistan, Justice for the Killers Among Us

KARACHI, Pakistan — The army chief of Pakistan recently confirmed the death sentence of Saad Aziz, a business-school graduate and restaurant manager who was convicted of killing my friend Sabeen Mahmud. Sabeen, who was 40 then, ran The Second Floor in Karachi, a cafe where many writers and artists, including me, got their first break. It was also a hub for activists advocating controversial, often lost, causes. She was shot dead on April 24, 2015, minutes after a talk she had organized about the disappearance of Baloch activists, allegedly at the hand of Pakistan’s military intelligence agencies.

Chances are that after the requisite technical appeals to higher courts and a plea for mercy to the president of Pakistan, Aziz will hang. There are even stronger chances that we’ll never know for sure why he killed Sabeen.

Aziz was sentenced to death by a military court last May. The media weren’t allowed to cover the trial. There is no detailed judgment. We’ll never get to hear what Aziz may have said in his defense or about his motives.

Was he a lone killer, or acting on someone’s behalf? Was Sabeen killed for taking a stand against the Pakistani Taliban and their supporters in the mainstream? For defying the powerful military establishment? Because she insisted on drawing red hearts on walls around the city to mark Valentine’s Day?

In a detailed interview with a journalist before his trial, held while he was in police custody, Aziz confessed to killing Sabeen. “There wasn’t one particular reason for targeting her: She was generally promoting liberal, secular values,” he said. In the same interview, Aziz also said he had taken part in a May 2015 attack on a bus that killed more than 40 Shia Muslims.

According to the Pakistani army, those crimes made Aziz a “jet black terrorist.” So why give him the dignity of a proper trial?

Military courts were given jurisdiction over civilians in some terrorism cases more than two years ago, not long after gunmen barged into a school in Peshawar in December 2014 and killed more than 140 people, including children as young as 11. (The Pakistani Taliban claimed responsibility for the attack.) Pakistan’s political parties and military leadership came together then to lift a moratorium on the death penalty that had been in place since 2008 and to allow military courts to hold in camera summary trials for jet-black terrorists.

Since then, military courts have convicted at least 274 people and sentenced 161 of them to death. (Twelve have been executed.) Sometimes the defendants’ families found out about the convictions through tweets by the army’s public relations division. The rest of us never found out much at all about these people on death row.

The military courts’ special jurisdiction expired on Jan. 7, and the government is holding consultations with opposition parties about reviving it. Some parties are wary, but no one really wants to be seen challenging the army.

Pakistan’s insistence on trying and convicting its terrorists in secret is baffling. The war against the Taliban and other religious extremists is supposedly a war of ideas. But how are we to fight an idea when we don’t know what it is?

Should I just be relieved that my friend’s killer will be hanged? Or should I also be asking: How should we kill our killers? I don’t have the stomach for the death penalty, but if Aziz is to be executed, I’d like to make sure he actually did murder Sabeen and I want to know why.

These trials provide not justice so much as revenge, and they uncover very little information. The Taliban were fond of killing our soldiers and making videos while doing it. We let our army take away suspected terrorists to try them and hang them, but we want to be spared the gory details.

And yet the gory details are what we need to know if we want to know our enemy. The reasons Aziz gave in his interview for killing Sabeen — she spoke out against the Taliban, she promoted secular values — echo views and values common among corporate workers, lawyers, journalists and other armchair jihadists. That’s why holding court hearings in the open matters: Because then they might reveal how a theological argument can lead to a massacre, how prejudice can lead to sectarian violence.

Our killers went to the same schools we did. They and their supporters read the same newspapers we do. We all attend the same wedding banquets. But many of us pretend they live in caves and are funded by our enemies. Well, maybe they are funded by our enemies, but some of them also have business degrees and run restaurants in Karachi.

Before these terrorism trials, the Pakistani army already had its own system of justice: It would abduct people it believed were a threat to national security. Only last week there were protests across the country after four activists went missing. They were all critical of the army and their families believe intelligence agencies abducted them. The army has been accused by local and international human rights organizations of killing and dumping the bodies of Baloch nationalists. Some of the people convicted of terrorism by the military courts had been declared missing and were already in the army’s custody.

This kind of military justice confirms the notion that we are at war. But it doesn’t tell us who we are at war with. Do we have a shape-shifting enemy, or are we fighting a war of convenience? The Pakistani army has twisted its narrative about the war too many times.

For a long while we were told that the Taliban in Afghanistan were our assets and the Pakistani Taliban were our misguided brothers. Today we are told that everyone who attacks us is bankrolled by India.
But all these stories are just a way of refusing to admit that for many years now, we have been fighting an enemy who lives among us and who believes in many of the things we believe in.

Musharraf seeks security as he plans return to Pakistan

ISLAMABAD, Jan 13: Former president General (retd) Pervez Musharraf has expressed intent to return to Pakistan after requesting an anti-terrorism court (ATC) on Friday to direct concerned authorities to provide foolproof security for his appearance in court in the judges’ detention case.

Accepting Musharraf’s application, ATC-II judge Sohail Ikram ordered the Inspector General of Police and the interior ministry secretary to make security arrangements for the former president to ensure his presence in court on the next hearing set for February 9.

On December 8, 2016, the ATC had directed police to initiate proclamation proceedings against Musharraf in the judges’ detention case over his continuous non-appearance before the court. Non-bailable arrest warrants have already been issued for Musharraf in the case and failure in making an appearance might lead to him being declared a proclaimed offender.

The details of Musharraf’s possible return surfaced when his counsel, Akhtar Shah, submitted an application seeking security for his appearance before the ATC. The application also sought exemption from personal appearance till security arrangements are made.

In the application, Shah said that without prejudice to other remedies and relief available to the petitioner under the law, he intends to appear before the court if the authorities provide adequate security.

Expressing concerns over the current security situation in the country, Shah stated that serious security threats have increased. Referring to a terrorist attack at the district court of Islamabad in March 2014 and another terrorist attack in August 2016 in Quetta, he stated “security conditions in the courts and otherwise have not yet improved.”

Shah said that under the prevailing circumstances and due to security and medical reasons, “it is neither safe nor advisable for General (retd) Pervez Musharraf to appear in person” in court. He added that Musharraf is under constant watch and he has been “advised to not travel till his health improves.”

In March 2016, Musharraf’s name was removed from Exit Control List after almost three years of being banned from international travel. He is facing a number of cases, including Abdul Rasheed Ghazi murder case, Benazir Bhutto murder case and a high treason case.

On December 8, the court had granted 30-days to the former president to surrender when his counsel had informed the court that his client was ready to appear before court.

The Special Public Prosecutor Aamir Nadeem Tabish had previously informed the court that the Ministry of Interior had submitted in 2013 that security would be provided to Musharraf if he was ready to appear before the court. However, he added that Musharraf submits a new application at almost every hearing and he has not been appearing before the court for one reason or another.

Being a fugitive of law, Tabish had maintained that Musharraf could neither seek any relief nor any lawyer could represent him unless the accused surrenders before the court. Subsequently, the court had ruled that the counsel cannot seek relief for Gen Musharraf unless the latter put up presence before the court.

The judges’ detention case was registered by the Secretariat Police Station on Aug 11, 2009, seeking legal proceedings against the former military ruler for confining 60 judges of the superior courts for over five months at their homes and restraining them from administering justice. The judges, including former chief justice of Pakistan Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry, were detained after proclamation of a state of emergency in the country.

Held MPA implicates Sattar in May 12 case

KARACHI, Jan 1: An interned provincial lawmaker now belonging to the Muttahida Qaumi Movement-Pakistan has not only confessed to his involvement in the May 12, 2007 mayhem but also implicated party chief Dr Farooq Sattar in one of the most violent episodes of the country’s history, it emerged on Saturday.

Kamran Farooq, a member of the Sindh Assembly from Karachi, was arrested by the paramilitary Rangers on Dec 16 and was booked in two cases for allegedly carrying grenades and unlicensed weapons. He was one of the absconders in several cases pertaining to the May 12 violence.

He had recorded his confessional statement before a judicial magistrate under Section 164 of the criminal procedure code on Dec 20.

According to his statement, a copy of which is available with Dawn, suspect Farooq stated that he joined the MQM in 2000 and worked as the party’s “unit and sector in charge”. He added that he was given a party ticket to contest the 2013 general elections on the recommendation of the then chief of the Karachi Tanzeemi Committee, Hammad Siddiqui.

About his involvement in the May 12 events, he told the magistrate that a meeting was held on May 10, 2007 at the party’s Nine Zero headquarters in the presence of Dr Farooq Sattar, Mr Siddiqui and other leaders. He said that the “party leadership” had asked him and other “sector in charges” to ensure that lawyers could not reach Karachi airport to welcome the then deposed Chief Justice of Pakistan Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry on May 12, 2007.
He testified that he along with his armed accomplices blocked many thoroughfares on May 12 and resorted to firing leaving many wounded.

In April 2008, according to the statement, another meeting was held at the party’s headquarters in which he was told that Karachi Bar Association secretary Naeem Qureshi was planning to stage protests against the party as he was a complainant in one of the May 12 cases. He was asked to teach a ‘lesson’ to Mr Qureshi and he sent some workers to torch a building — Tahir Plaza — which housed the office of the KBA leader.
Tahir Plaza was set on fire on April 9, 2008 in which a lawyer and his five clients died.

He also told the magistrate about his involvement in targeted killing, extortion, providing arms licences to alleged hitmen during the tenure of Aftab Shaikh, the then adviser to the Sindh chief minister on home affairs, purchasing weapons, china-cutting and other offences.

Karachi Mayor Waseem Akhtar, MPAs Mohammad Adnan, Kamran Farooq and others were booked in cases related to rioting and attempted murder during the May 12, 2007 mayhem, in which around 50 people were killed and over 100 wounded.

Meanwhile, a spokesman for the MQM-Pakistan rejected the confessional statement of MPA Kamran Farooq who was in Rangers custody and said that such statements were part of the party’s media trial. The spokesman also slammed a plot to implicate Dr Sattar in false cases.

Another MPA gets interim bail in Baldia fire case

The administrative judge of the antiterrorism courts in Karachi on Saturday granted interim pre-arrest bail to MQM lawmaker Rauf Siddiqui in the Baldia factory fire case.
Applicant’s lawyer Shaukat Hayat submitted that a recently arrested suspect, Abdul Rahman, in his confessional statement named the applicant for allegedly lodging a case against the factory owners.

The counsel said that the applicant was neither nominated in the FIR nor named in the charge-sheets or any report of the joint investigation teams. The FIR against the factory owners was lodged by the SHO concerned on behalf of the state but the applicant was being framed in the present case.

However, since the detained suspect named the MPA in his confessional statement on the basis of hearsay, the applicant was ready to join the investigation and sought pre-arrest bail, the counsel added.

After a preliminary hearing, the judge in charge of the ATC-II granted him pre-arrest bail against a surety bond of Rs100,000 till Jan 12.

It may be recalled that Abdul Rehman alias Bhola, a key suspect in the factory fire case, confessed before a judicial magistrate on Dec 22 that he along with Zubair alias Charya and other accomplices set the factory on fire on the instruction of Hammad Siddiqui since the factory owners had refused to pay extortion.

He said that after the incident Rauf Siddiqui, then provincial minister for industries, allegedly got a case registered against the factory owners. According to the suspect, he came to know later that both Rauf Siddiqui and Hammad Siddiqui received Rs40 to Rs50 million from the owners in order to weaken the case against them.